2.3.1 Growth and the Economic Cycle — Practice Questions
Nine original multiple-choice questions on economic growth, the trade cycle and output gaps, written to the style and difficulty of AQA Paper 3 Section A.
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9 questions in this set
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1. Long-run economic growth is best defined as an increase in
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Answer: C (The maximum output an economy could produce.). Long-run growth — also called potential growth — is an increase in the economy's productive capacity: the most it could produce with all its resources fully employed. It is shown as an outward shift of the LRAS curve and of the production possibility frontier.
Why the other options are wrong
- A — Actual output is short-run growth. An economy can raise actual output simply by using spare capacity, without its potential changing at all.
- B — A rise in the average price level is inflation. It is a separate macroeconomic variable and can happen with or without growth.
- D — The share of the labour force in work is the employment rate. It affects how much of the economy's potential is used, not how large that potential is.
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2. An economy moves from a point inside its production possibility frontier to a point on the frontier. This is best described as
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Answer: C (Short-run growth, because actual output has risen.). The frontier itself has not moved — the economy has simply moved towards it, using resources that were previously idle. Actual output rises while potential output is unchanged, which is exactly what short-run or actual growth means.
Why the other options are wrong
- A — Potential output is the frontier, and it is where it always was. Nothing here raises the economy's capacity.
- B — The frontier has not shifted. The economy has moved to a different point on the same frontier.
- D — The first half is right and the second half is wrong. Short-run growth involves no shift of the frontier.
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3. Which one of the following would cause long-run economic growth?
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Answer: D (Investment that raises the quality of the capital stock.). Long-run growth requires a change in the quantity or quality of the factors of production. Better capital means more output can be produced from the same inputs, so the LRAS curve and the production possibility frontier both shift outwards.
Why the other options are wrong
- A — Net exports are a component of aggregate demand. A rise in them raises actual output towards existing capacity, not the capacity itself.
- B — Consumer confidence works through consumption, so again this is a demand-side effect and therefore short-run growth.
- C — Government spending in a recession closes a negative output gap. That uses idle resources rather than creating new ones.
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4. An economy producing below its potential output is said to have
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Answer: A (A negative output gap.). The output gap is actual real GDP minus potential real GDP. When actual output is the smaller of the two the gap is negative — also called a recessionary gap. It goes with spare capacity, cyclical unemployment and weak inflationary pressure.
Why the other options are wrong
- B — A positive output gap is the opposite case, where actual output is above potential and resources are being used unsustainably.
- C — A wage-price spiral is a mechanism that sustains inflation, not a description of where output sits relative to capacity.
- D — Long-run growth is a rise in potential output itself. It says nothing about the gap between actual and potential.
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5. Table 1 shows four indicators for an economy in its most recent quarter.
Using Table 1, the economy is most likely inTable 1: Selected indicators, latest quarter Indicator Latest reading Real GDP growth −0.8% Unemployment Rising Inflation Falling Business confidence Low Show model answer
Answer: C (A recession.). Read the four indicators together. Real GDP is falling, unemployment is rising, inflation is falling and business confidence is low. That combination is the standard profile of a recession, with a negative output gap opening up as actual output drops below potential.
Why the other options are wrong
- A — A boom shows the opposite on every row: rising real GDP, low unemployment, demand-pull inflation and high confidence.
- B — Long-run growth is a rise in productive capacity. These indicators describe where actual output sits in the cycle, and it is falling.
- D — A supply-side shock would push inflation up while output fell. Here inflation is falling, which points to weak demand rather than higher costs.
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6. An economy's actual real GDP is £950bn and its potential real GDP is £1,000bn. Expressed as a percentage of potential GDP, the output gap is
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Answer: B (−5.0%). The output gap is actual output minus potential output, measured against potential output.
£950bn − £1,000bn = −£50bn.
−50 ÷ 1,000 × 100 = −5.0%.
The sign matters: a negative gap means the economy is producing £50bn less than it is capable of, so there is spare capacity and cyclical unemployment.Why the other options are wrong
- A — −5.3% divides by actual GDP, −50 ÷ 950. The output gap is conventionally measured against potential output, the benchmark being fallen short of.
- C — −0.05% is −50 ÷ 1,000 with the multiplication by 100 left out. That is the gap expressed as a decimal fraction, not a percentage.
- D — +5.0% has the right size but the wrong sign, which reverses the economics. A positive gap would mean the economy was overheating, not that it had spare capacity.
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7. An economy is operating with a large positive output gap. The most likely consequences are
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Answer: C (Labour shortages and demand-pull inflation.). A positive output gap means actual output has been pushed above the sustainable level — through overtime, overuse of machinery and hiring in an already tight labour market. Firms compete for scarce workers and inputs, so labour shortages appear and the excess demand pulls prices up, giving demand-pull inflation.
Why the other options are wrong
- A — Deflation and rising unemployment go with a deep negative output gap, where demand is deficient.
- B — Confidence is typically high in the boom conditions that create a positive output gap, which is part of what sustains the excess demand.
- D — Spare capacity is the defining feature of a negative output gap. A positive gap means the opposite: capacity is being stretched.
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8. The Classical and Keynesian views differ over whether a negative output gap
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Answer: D (Requires government intervention to close.). Classical economists argue the gap is temporary: falling prices and wages restore full employment on their own, so intervention is unnecessary and may be harmful. Keynesians argue that wages and prices are sticky and confidence stays low, so an economy can sit in a negative output gap indefinitely and needs government action to raise aggregate demand.
That disagreement about self-correction is the whole argument.Why the other options are wrong
- A — Both accept measurement is difficult, because potential GDP cannot be observed directly and has to be estimated.
- B — This is the definition of a negative output gap. Neither side disputes what the term means.
- C — Both agree a negative gap involves unemployed resources. They disagree about whether that state persists.
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9. A sharp rise in world energy prices hits an economy. Compared with a fall in consumer confidence of similar size, the energy shock is more likely to
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Answer: B (Lower real output while raising the price level.). The two shocks hit different curves, which is why they have different signatures.
A fall in confidence is a demand-side shock: AD shifts left, so output and the price level both fall.
An energy price rise is a supply-side shock: it raises firms' costs, so SRAS shifts left. Output falls but the price level rises.
Falling output alongside rising prices is stagflation, and it is awkward precisely because demand-side policy cannot fix both halves at once.Why the other options are wrong
- A — This is the demand-side shock the stem is comparing against, not the energy shock.
- C — Rising output would need a rightward shift of one of the curves. Dearer energy makes firms supply less, not more.
- D — Both halves are wrong: this describes a positive supply shock, such as energy becoming cheaper.
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